Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.220663 0.304594 0.398440 0.509047 0.633990 0.769171 0.925004
2025-10-26 0.122544 0.231538 0.370433 0.549674 0.766401 1.013315 1.309978
2025-11-02 0.067949 0.178175 0.336387 0.555082 0.831850 1.157320 1.557765
2025-11-09 0.025078 0.118220 0.277662 0.517213 0.835763 1.222564 1.709468
2025-11-16 0.004166 0.071910 0.223088 0.472987 0.822366 1.259583 1.821355
2025-11-23 0.000002 0.047433 0.194348 0.458699 0.843151 1.335094 1.976458
2025-11-30 NaN 0.035236 0.183491 0.468323 0.894177 1.447282 2.175260
2025-12-07 NaN 0.022683 0.165557 0.463421 0.923000 1.529710 2.336377
2025-12-14 NaN 0.011267 0.141387 0.443901 0.928468 1.580118 2.456321
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009732 0.146959 0.476309 1.009198 1.729294 2.700316
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008543 0.153095 0.509604 1.091261 1.880360 2.946919
2026-01-04 NaN 0.006207 0.152450 0.529792 1.153656 2.005269 3.160520
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006331 0.164916 0.577283 1.260563 2.194234 3.461559
2026-01-18 NaN 0.005434 0.171617 0.614257 1.352658 2.364773 3.741058
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002739 0.163653 0.621703 1.399476 2.474133 3.942261
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000047 0.133589 0.581023 1.370721 2.480398 4.010979
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.103762 0.534058 1.328582 2.466071 4.051357
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.089685 0.518791 1.334830 2.516793 4.174519
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.086473 0.529063 1.382318 2.624685 4.372049
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.077737 0.523834 1.403652 2.695704 4.521246
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.064292 0.503001 1.397663 2.727568 4.618611
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.070285 0.537575 1.485832 2.892923 4.891882
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.076592 0.573025 1.575540 3.060550 5.168282